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Housing | Beach Road Realty Inc Blog

Thursday, January 25, 2024   /   by Richard Eimers

Real Estate Market Outlook 2024: A Guide for Home Buyers and Sellers

In 2023, the real estate market faced challenges, witnessing a decline in home sales due to higher borrowing costs and soaring home prices, marking the steepest slowdown since the 2008 recession. Aspiring homebuyers found themselves priced out of the market, while hesitant sellers held back, resulting in a notable drop in listings.
Relief in Sight
There's optimism on the horizon as the Federal Reserve, in December, signaled an end to interest rate hikes and hinted at a potential 0.75% rate cut in the coming year. Although mortgages don't mirror the federal funds rate directly, they typically follow the same trend, hinting at the possibility of more affordable home loans.
Home Prices Stability
Despite high mortgage rates, U.S. property values ended 2023 higher, with some regions experiencing appreciation while others saw declines. Analysts attribute this to a nationwide housing shortage, emphasizing the delicate balance between low demand and low supply. Forecasts for 2024 vary, but ...

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Tuesday, January 23, 2024   /   by Richard Eimers

New Mortgage Applications Jump More Than 10%

New mortgage applications increased 10.4% from one week earlier, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

WASHINGTON — Mortgage applications increased 10.4% from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 12, 2024. Last week’s results included an adjustment to account for the New Year’s holiday.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 10.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the index increased 26% compared with the previous week. The

The Refinance Index increased 11% from the previous week and was 10% higher than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 9% from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index increased 28% compared with the previous week and was 20% lower than the same week one year ago.

“Mortgage r4 ...

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Monday, January 15, 2024   /   by Richard Eimers

HOUSING SUPPLY SHORTAGE PERSISTS: IMPLICATIONS FOR BUYERS AND SELLERS

The persistent housing supply shortage has sparked speculation on whether homebuyers can expect more options in the coming year. NAR economist Yun is optimistic, anticipating that pent-up sellers, weary of waiting, will soon list their properties. He envisions a steady increase in listings and continued success in new home sales.
However, not all experts align with this view. Realtor.com economists forecast a potential 14% drop in inventory this year. The shortage is compounded by a decline in existing homes for sale and a significant drop in single-family housing starts in 2023 and 2022.
Despite the challenges, newly-built homes have played a crucial role, constituting one-third of all homes for sale in 2023—double the historical average. Yet, it's acknowledged that new construction alone won't bridge the inventory gap.
Chief Economist Mark Fleming from First American Financial Corporation highlights a U.S. shortfall of approximately one million homes. He suggests that condit ...

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Monday, January 15, 2024   /   by Richard Eimers

LOWER RATES REVIVING REAL ESTATE MARKET

In recent years, soaring mortgage rates have chilled the enthusiasm of homebuyers and deterred potential sellers from entering the market due to the prospect of higher loan costs.
This prolonged period of cautious waiting has led to a notable slowdown in the real estate sector. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), estimates a substantial 18% decrease in existing home sales last year, following a 17% decline in 2022.
As financing costs gradually decrease, there's optimism for a resurgence in sales volume. Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at CoreLogic, anticipates a boost in home sales activity in 2024 compared to 2023. The decline in mortgage rates is expected to motivate more sellers to trade their existing homes, alleviating the market's inventory shortage and stimulating increased transactions.
Evidence suggests that homebuyers' patience is waning, even with higher borrowing costs. A recent Bank of America survey indicates a significant drop froms ...

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Monday, January 15, 2024   /   by Richard Eimers

ANTICIPATED MORTGAGE RATE DECLINE IN 2024: A POSITIVE OUTLOOK

In a promising development for 2024, the burden of high mortgage rates impacting the real estate market may be on the verge of easing.

During its December meeting, the Federal Reserve hinted at a positive shift, signaling an expected cut in its overnight rate in 2024. Analysts are optimistic, predicting a synchronized decline in mortgage rates [^5^].

Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist, Sam Khater, foresees a gradual improvement in the housing market in the coming year. With inflation decelerating and expectations of the Federal Reserve lowering the federal funds target rate, a thawing of the housing market is likely [^9^].

Already, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has seen a decrease from its October peak of around 8%. Forecasts from Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association, and Realtor.com align, projecting a trend towards lower rates in 2024, potentially ending the year closer to 6% [^7^].

However, it’s not an unmitigated positive; the era of 3% mortgages ...

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Beach Road Realty Inc
Richard Eimers
17 Roundwood Drive
Inlet Beach, FL
850-259-1798

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