Thursday, September 21, 2023 / by Richard Eimers
With a nod to the economy having “mixed signals,” Fannie Mae’s 3Q forecast calls for a “modest contraction” and mortgage rates “settling above 7%.”
WASHINGTON – The key question for economists: Is the U.S. headed toward a soft landing or a mild recession?
According to September 2023 commentary from the Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group, it’s a modest contraction.
“Mixed signals from key economic data releases continue to muddle the near-term outlook and the answer to that question, but a modest contraction remains the most likely outcome as consumption continues to outpace incomes and previous monetary policy tightening works its way through the system,” the report says.
The housing market faces renewed headwinds with mortgage rates settling above 7%, according to the ESR Group. Still, the downside risk to total home sales is limited as more sales are being driven by life events rather than d ...
Tuesday, August 29, 2023 / by Richard Eimers
Mortgage rates kept climbing in the last week. Buyers in this real estate market notice these affordability changes, and so we can see in the data fewer home purchase offers, slightly climbing unsold inventory, and slightly more price reductions for the homes that are on the market.
Rising rates makes more inventory. So how much inventory will we add this fall? As of now, these slowing signals are subtle. If mortgage rates jump to say 8%, that’s when we’d see big changes in inventory and home prices.
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